Assessing Customer Risk, Margin Sustainability, and Growth Opportunities of Electric Utility Services Company
Conducted 4-week phased customer & market due diligence to evaluate revenue and margin sustainability risk vis-à-vis the target’s core business and assess geographic expansion opportunities required to create a super-regional player. Developed bottom-up CapEx and Operations & Maintenance spend model of 25 key utilities, including 10-year projections; interviewed 30+ key stakeholders at the target’s top customers and potential customers; conducted detailed analysis of the target’s jobs database and forecast; and conducted extensive primary and secondary research. Based on Gotham’s findings, our PE client significantly revised down their bid and was able to secure the target at a more favorable valuation, with a top-level expansion strategy in-hand.
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Establishing Market Dynamics And Growth Outlook
Conducted a 3-week customer & market due diligence to establish the competitive differentiation and validate the growth opportunities of the target. To this end, Gotham: created a robust market sizing model establishing the current inventory of wells as well as a drilling forecast segmented by end-market; conducted interviews with municipal and C&I water well customers and government agencies; established the competitive landscape and market share of key players; and uncovered attractive geographic, service line, and end-market expansion opportunities. Gotham’s assessment armed our client with a solid understanding of market dynamics/growth outlook and the target’s reputation/competitive positioning, allowing our client to pursue the transaction with confidence.
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Establishing Natural Gas Consumption Outlook In Light Of Decarbonization
Conducted 5-week customer & market due diligence to: (1) establish macro trends in NG usage; (2) establish market size and growth trends for NG LDC equipment; and (3) determine the competitive landscape for NG LDC equipment. To this end, Gotham: established historic and projected NG consumption trends by leveraging data available from government agencies; developed a country-level market sizing model; conducted interviews with customers, distributors, and competitors across Europe and North America; and performed extensive primary and secondary research to pin down the decarbonization trend and competitive landscape. Armed with a reliable, fact-based assessment of NG demand outlook, our client moved forward with confidence and closed the transaction.
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Determining Branch-level Margin Expansion Opportunities And Market Position
Conducted 2-week customer & market and operational due diligence to: validate capture of pricing and operating efficiencies at acquired companies; establish local market dynamics and target’s competitive positioning; and assess regulatory and substitution threat. Gotham: surveyed ~750 propane consumers in target’s service areas; identified/profiled key competitors and conducted 32 competitor interviews in target’s local markets; analyzed zip-code-level propane supply, consumption, pricing, and heating degree day trends; determined pricing optimization and segmentation opportunity; assessed substitution threat from natural gas, electricity, and heat pumps; and analyzed pricing, delivery, and backoffiice expenses at 25+ acquisitions. Comfortable with the target’s opportunity to acquire family-owned local propane distributors and capture pricing/operations improvements, our client was able to move forward with an aggressive but well-informed bid.
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Establishing Impact Of Mining Market Cyclicality And Competitive Differentiation
Conducted a 3-week customer & market due diligence to establish the target’s competitive positioning and recessionary risk in the mining end-market. To this end, Gotham: conducted 52 interviews with and 171 online surveys of mining executives, fleet business directors, and engineers; established macro mining tends; developed a mining truck fact pack; built a market sizing model to project mining truck demand; created a mining recession model; built a mining parts provider competitive landscape; and assessed the small crawler crane market and competitive dynamics. Gotham provided our client with a clear view on the target’s competitive positioning and recessionary risk in the mining end-market, commodity prices, and macro mining trends, and growth potential in the construction end-market, which allowed our client to make informed decisions during the bidding process.
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Deciphering a Niche Market to Validate Growth Plan of Municipal/Utility Services Company
Conducted 4-week customer and market due diligence to: (1) establish municipal budget outlook; (2) establish market size and growth outlook for wastewater infrastructure services; and (3) understand the target’s competitive positioning. The effort included: 124 interviews with municipal and utility officials; in-depth research of environmental regulations; top-down/bottom-up municipal budget analysis; and creation of 3 bottom-up marketing sizing models. Gotham’s comprehensive, fact-based approach verified that the target’s aggressive growth plans were realistic and the target had established a strong reputation with its customers. This allowed our PE client to gain confidence in the target’s ability to meet its revenue plan and move forward with the acquisition.
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