Assessing Customer Risk, Margin Sustainability, and Growth Opportunities of Electric Utility Services Company
Conducted 4-week phased customer & market due diligence to evaluate revenue and margin sustainability risk vis-à-vis the target’s core business and assess geographic expansion opportunities required to create a super-regional player. Developed bottom-up CapEx and Operations & Maintenance spend model of 25 key utilities, including 10-year projections; interviewed 30+ key stakeholders at the target’s top customers and potential customers; conducted detailed analysis of the target’s jobs database and forecast; and conducted extensive primary and secondary research. Based on Gotham’s findings, our PE client significantly revised down their bid and was able to secure the target at a more favorable valuation, with a top-level expansion strategy in-hand.
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Establishing Market Dynamics And Growth Outlook
Conducted a 3-week customer & market due diligence to establish the competitive differentiation and validate the growth opportunities of the target. To this end, Gotham: created a robust market sizing model establishing the current inventory of wells as well as a drilling forecast segmented by end-market; conducted interviews with municipal and C&I water well customers and government agencies; established the competitive landscape and market share of key players; and uncovered attractive geographic, service line, and end-market expansion opportunities. Gotham’s assessment armed our client with a solid understanding of market dynamics/growth outlook and the target’s reputation/competitive positioning, allowing our client to pursue the transaction with confidence.
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Establishing Natural Gas Consumption Outlook In Light Of Decarbonization
Conducted 5-week customer & market due diligence to: (1) establish macro trends in NG usage; (2) establish market size and growth trends for NG LDC equipment; and (3) determine the competitive landscape for NG LDC equipment. To this end, Gotham: established historic and projected NG consumption trends by leveraging data available from government agencies; developed a country-level market sizing model; conducted interviews with customers, distributors, and competitors across Europe and North America; and performed extensive primary and secondary research to pin down the decarbonization trend and competitive landscape. Armed with a reliable, fact-based assessment of NG demand outlook, our client moved forward with confidence and closed the transaction.
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Assessing Revenue/Growth Risk at Leading Road Maintenance Equipment Supplier
Focused Pre-LOI due diligence effort on establishing state DOT/municipal budget dynamics (the target’s greatest dependency), the target’s competitive positioning, and growth trends of the target’s road maintenance equipment market. Gotham: 1) compiled 10 years of state DOT budget details for 30 key states; 2) conducted ~50 interviews with state DOTs (and some municipalities); 3) built a state DOT equipment fleet profile, including fleet size, replacement cycle, age distribution, and manufacturer by equipment type; and 4) established the competitive landscape of the road maintenance equipment market. Because Gotham’s fact-based assessment painted a less optimistic picture than management’s projections, our client decided not to pursue the acquisition.
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Establishing Market Size and Growth Opportunities in OCTG Market for Upstream Oil & Gas Protective Solutions Provider
Conducted 4-week customer & market due diligence to: (1) establish outlook for North America oil & gas drilling; (2) estimate market size and growth for new and reconditioned protective products; and (3) evaluate target’s competitive positioning. For this effort, Gotham interviewed 150+ customers and competitors, leveraged our proprietary industry knowledge base, performed extensive primary and secondary research to pin down oil & gas drilling dynamics, and developed a detailed bottom-up model for market sizing and growth. As a result of Gotham’s findings, our client confidently pursued and closed the transaction.
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Assessing Metal Pricing Risks and Opportunities for Adjacent Market Expansion for Filtration Equipment Manufacturer
Conducted 3-week customer & market due diligence to: (1) assess the impact of potential metal price reduction on target’s revenue by developing a robust understanding of metals pricing, mining economics, and historical trends; and (2) establish growth opportunities in adjacent end-markets (chemicals and industrial wastewater). For each end-market, we: established production/treatment processes, filtration technologies, and market dynamics; built market sizing/growth models; and conducted 50+ customer calls to establish/validate filtration requirements. We also built a comprehensive view of different filtration technologies and their usage, as well as competitive dynamics in the filtration equipment industry. Based on our findings, PE client confidently moved forward with the transaction and closed the deal.
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