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Customer & Market Due Diligence

We establish a clear picture of the target company’s market positioning and growth potential in even the most complex and data-poor niche markets. Our analytical rigor and broad industry expertise enable us to perform a quick but robust assessment of key market drivers and trends, and build a bottom-up market model to establish reliable market size/growth projections. Through our exhaustive research, including customer, supplier, competitor, and expert interviews, we establish competitive dynamics, technology/service advantages, customer buying criteria, and customers’ perception of the target. We then develop a top-level strategic plan – in essence a post-acquisition growth roadmap (add-ons and organic) for our clients.

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In-store Bakery Supplier
Establishing Consumer Conversion Opportunity by Quantifying Available Whitespace of In-store Bakery Supplier

Conducted a 2-phased due diligence to:(1) determine the penetration levels and conversion opportunity of the target’s bakery supply products; (2) establish the retail bakery market dynamics; and (3) establish the target’s growth potential. Gotham conducted: a Phase I consumer panel survey of 1,116 consumers to validate ingoing thesis on consumer penetration opportunity; a Phase II survey of 2,233 consumers to establish buying behaviour and test potential concepts for driving consumer conversion. We also interviewed 37 retailer bakery executives/category buyers and surveyed 276 in-story bakery employees to establish their decision-making criteria, plans for the category, and requirements for growth, and modeled a complex market size matrix for 34 occasions and 7 product types to estimate the current penetration of the company's products and establish whitespace and conversion opportunities. These fact-based, actionable insights and reliable numbers gave the client the conviction needed to win this hotly contested auction.

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Inspection, Cleaning, and Repair Services
Deciphering a Niche Market to Validate Growth Plan of Municipal/Utility Services Company

Conducted 4-week customer and market due diligence to:  (1) establish municipal budget outlook; (2) establish market size and growth outlook for wastewater infrastructure services;  and (3) understand the target’s competitive positioning. The effort included:  124 interviews with municipal and utility officials; in-depth research of environmental regulations; top-down/bottom-up municipal budget analysis; and creation of 3 bottom-up marketing sizing models. Gotham’s comprehensive, fact-based approach verified that the target’s aggressive growth plans were realistic and the target had established a strong reputation with its customers. This allowed our PE client to gain confidence in the target’s ability to meet its revenue plan and move forward with the acquisition.      

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Mental Health Services Provider
Establishing Program-Level Competitive Positioning and Operating Performance of Leading Private Pay Residential Mental Health Services Provider

Gotham conducted a customer & market and operational due diligence of a leading multi-program player in the private pay residential mental health services market, serving adolescents and young adults with a broad array of behavioral disorders. In line with the bid timelines, Gotham structured a 2-phased effort, with Phase I effort focused on understanding the overall market and referral dynamics, the target’s overall competitive positioning, and the growth opportunity and Phase II on program-level operational performance, reputation/competitive positioning, and recessionary risk. Gotham: conducted 43 interviews with referral sources, competitors and industry experts; built a bottom-up market sizing model; developed a comprehensive competitor database; and built robust operational performance fact packs for each of the target’s programs. Gotham’s fact-based assessment gave our client the conviction to win the auction with an aggressive bid.

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E-COMMERCE FROZEN DTC FULFILLMENT SERVICES PROVIDER
Deciphering Nascent DTC Frozen Foods Fulfillment Market

Conducted 3-week customer & market due diligence to establish:  frozen DTC fulfillment market size and the ability to sustain COVID-19 bump; the target’s competitive positioning in the frozen DTC fulfillment market; and the target’s reputation/positioning with foodservice distribution customers. Gotham:  mapped universe of 350+ frozen DTC food companies; built bottom-up frozen DTC fulfillment market model; conducted 11 DTC fulfillment customer interviews; established competitive landscape of frozen DTC fulfillment services providers; and conducted 13 interviews and 73 online customer surveys of foodservice distribution customers. Gotham’s findings enabled our client to move forward confidently with the potential acquisition.

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PROPANE DISTRIBUTOR
Determining Branch-level Margin Expansion Opportunities And Market Position

Conducted 2-week customer & market and operational due diligence to:  validate capture of pricing and operating efficiencies at acquired companies; establish local market dynamics and target’s competitive positioning; and assess regulatory and substitution threat. Gotham: surveyed ~750 propane consumers in target’s service areas; identified/profiled key competitors and conducted 32 competitor interviews in target’s local markets; analyzed zip-code-level propane supply, consumption, pricing, and heating degree day trends; determined pricing optimization and segmentation opportunity; assessed substitution threat from natural gas, electricity, and heat pumps; and analyzed pricing, delivery, and backoffiice expenses at 25+ acquisitions. Comfortable with the target’s opportunity to acquire family-owned local propane distributors and capture pricing/operations improvements, our client was able to move forward with an aggressive but well-informed bid.

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PROPERTY MANAGEMENT COMPANY
ESTABLISHING DIFFERENTIATED POSITIONING AND GEOGRAPHIC EXPANSION OPPORTUNITY

Conducted 3-week customer & market due diligence to: (1) establish target's addressable market and competitive positioning/reputation within its market; (2) assess market trends in target's core and expansion markets; and (3) analyze potential impact of recession on target’s business. Gotham conducted 75+ anonymous and “warm introduction” interviews with various types of property owners and property managers; built competitive landscape; profiled market trends and established market size; and modeled recession impact on the target’s revenue and EBITDA. Gotham unpacked complex market and competitive dynamics at a granular level and articulated the target’s niche positioning and improvement opportunity. Our client successfully closed the transaction and acted on our recommendations to professionalize this entrepreneurial business.

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Related Capabilities

 

Operational Due Diligence

 

Post-Merger Integration/ Carve-Out Planning

 

Pragmatic Growth Strategy

 

Sales & Marketing Effectiveness

 

Rapid Operations Improvements

Industry Expertise

 
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Consumer
 
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Food & Beverage
 
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Healthcare
 
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Industrials
 
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Infrastructure
 
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Services

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